Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 4.614769 5.114675 5.648817 6.262518 6.948806 7.693363 8.563310
2026-01-18 3.777350 4.462742 5.246743 6.212153 7.372101 8.724802 10.427521
2026-01-25 3.177924 3.955313 4.895614 6.121801 7.686078 9.624805 12.225059
2026-02-01 2.735787 3.556807 4.597600 6.022398 7.935516 10.434175 13.975394
2026-02-08 2.396137 3.234029 4.340009 5.919193 8.136513 11.169023 15.682062
2026-02-15 2.148083 2.996818 4.157999 5.879545 8.395724 11.983231 17.565010
2026-02-22 1.997925 2.873461 4.111553 6.012254 8.896149 13.171526 20.108634
2026-03-01 1.826710 2.699283 3.970074 5.982884 9.141483 13.992428 22.170083
2026-03-08 1.643934 2.488573 3.751516 5.808841 9.136925 14.414467 23.626791
2026-03-15 1.515441 2.347227 3.622501 5.756349 9.310295 15.122486 25.616227
2026-03-22 1.443939 2.287325 3.612622 5.889635 9.793168 16.376074 28.669435
2026-03-29 1.379144 2.231600 3.602767 6.018620 10.275966 17.669944 31.934533
2026-04-05 1.296840 2.142222 3.533258 6.045171 10.593245 18.724556 34.925271
2026-04-12 1.206539 2.032072 3.419782 5.984562 10.748954 19.505178 37.496422
2026-04-19 1.120036 1.921282 3.295699 5.892612 10.836118 20.164595 39.907725
2026-04-26 1.041242 1.817556 3.175152 5.795020 10.900659 20.783232 42.306993
2026-05-03 0.969686 1.721050 3.059452 5.695077 10.948625 21.370028 44.706161
2026-05-10 0.913371 1.647840 2.980113 5.656645 11.112367 22.202059 47.732614
2026-05-17 0.883784 1.621726 2.985762 5.783748 11.621815 23.796023 52.653246
2026-05-24 0.836799 1.559100 2.917074 5.755503 11.804635 24.715657 56.145753
2026-05-31 0.777137 1.467788 2.786118 5.588549 11.675726 24.943275 58.030040
2026-06-07 0.735686 1.409029 2.714500 5.538188 11.793191 25.725658 61.352498
2026-06-14 0.716533 1.393039 2.726772 5.666019 12.316583 27.482532 67.335251